Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.010982 0.013310 0.016238 0.020286 0.025892 0.033636 0.045649
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.008123 0.010697 0.014368 0.020278 0.030217 0.047785 0.085971
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006584 0.009111 0.013004 0.019939 0.033346 0.062261 0.149103
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005399 0.007700 0.011418 0.018489 0.033540 0.071230 0.221654
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004637 0.006775 0.010370 0.017597 0.034346 0.082719 0.347584
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004168 0.006235 0.009846 0.017524 0.036994 0.103143 0.663153
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003866 0.005920 0.009653 0.018063 0.041589 0.138610 1.771338
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003566 0.005562 0.009300 0.018131 0.044973 0.177546 5.945580
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003236 0.005105 0.008676 0.017371 0.045314 0.202598 21.018558
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002994 0.004782 0.008269 0.017048 0.047088 0.245156 675.569230
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002881 0.004685 0.008314 0.017924 0.054229 0.370327 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002809 0.004656 0.008498 0.019257 0.064880 0.647208 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002712 0.004590 0.008641 0.020729 0.079673 1.430150 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002535 0.004344 0.008335 0.020722 0.086956 2.592859 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002364 0.004090 0.007964 0.020372 0.091991 4.694848 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002159 0.003745 0.007322 0.018879 0.087043 5.316150 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002002 0.003489 0.006870 0.017961 0.085938 7.516717 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001899 0.003338 0.006662 0.017886 0.092098 20.459542 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001832 0.003257 0.006621 0.018441 0.105631 384.343897 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001752 0.003141 0.006468 0.018511 0.115146 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001648 0.002964 0.006133 0.017728 0.113782 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001569 0.002836 0.005916 0.017396 0.117927 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001537 0.002810 0.005975 0.018298 0.142215 NaN NaN